4.7 Article

Using Machine Learning to estimate the impact of ports and cruise ship traffic on urban air quality: The case of Barcelona

期刊

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
卷 139, 期 -, 页码 -

出版社

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.104995

关键词

Urban air pollution; Cruise ships; Generalized boosted regression models; Machine learning

资金

  1. Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness - Research National Agency [DPI2016-75791-C2-1-P, RTI2018-100907-A-I00]
  2. FEDER funds
  3. Generalitat de Catalunya - AGAUR [2017 SGR 01234]

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Research shows that machine learning tools provide more accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations in Barcelona compared to traditional methods. The impact of cruise ships on air quality is found to be relatively limited in comparison to overall port effects.
Maritime activity is known to increase pollutant concentration levels in neighboring cities. In major touristic destinations, the singular need of cruise liners to keep supplying energy to on-board services and amenities while docked, has raised concerns about this industry contribution to pollutant emissions. To estimate the impact of port activities and that exclusively due to cruises, classical approaches would rely on atmospheric dispersion models. Although these tools retain the underlying physics, lack of details on background flow state and emission inventories limits their predictive capabilities. Using historical data on pollutant concentration, meteorology and traffic intensity at specific locations across the city of Barcelona, it was found that predictions of local pollutant concentration by the present Machine Learning tool are more accurate than those provided by the CALIOPEUrban-v1.0 in our test cases. Estimated air quality impact due to cruise ships is shown to be limited in comparison to overall Port effects.

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