4.3 Article

Evaluating economic impacts of utility scale solar photovoltaic localisation in South Africa

期刊

出版社

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2021.1894513

关键词

Employment; energy transition; localization; coal phase-out; solar PV; local content

资金

  1. CSIR Young Researchers Establishment Fund (YREF)

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The localization of solar PV panels can stimulate regional economic development in coal phase-out regions. By optimizing LCRs, a positive influence on employment and GDP under the considered timeframes (2020-2030) was determined. Specifically, a 100% LCRs scenario is projected to create 249,315 Full-Time-Equivalent (FTE) jobs over 10 years.
The localization process seeks to ensure that the production of particular components occurs from local companies, thus restricting manufacturing to local firms. Solar Photovoltaic (PV) panels localization can stimulate regional economic development in coal phase-out regions. This paper uses the Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) model to assess the economic impact of enhanced solar PV localization and further analyses enhanced solar PV Local Content Requirements (LCRs) scenarios. The study determined that the optimization of LCRs has a positive influence on employment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) under the considered timeframes (2020-2030). Specifically, the study found that a total of Full-Time-Equivalent (FTE) jobs that would be created by a 100% LCRs will be 249 315 over 10 years. An 80% LCRs scenario projected that a total of 219 513 jobs will be created while the overall economic impact is estimated to be USD 74 975, 248.43 over 10 years.

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