Predictive model for the risk of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes in obese people

In this article, we study a predictive model of the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 dia-betes mellitus (T2DM) in obese populations and investigate its impact on the evolution of their health, terms related to lifestyle and risk factors are also incorporated. This model represented mathematically by a nonlinear temporal system of ordinary differential equations. An analysis of the stability of station-ary solutions is also obtained to theoretically confirm the mathematical validity. Numerical simulations presented to explain the usefulness of the developed model; they show the role of a healthy lifestyle (diet, regular exercise, smoking, and increasing alcohol consumption above moderate levels) in alleviating the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and can significantly reduce the risk to develop type 2 dia-betes mellitus (T2DM). On the other hand, risk factors management of obesity with complications greatly decreases the risk of developing other complications. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Automated summary

The study reveals the significant impact of a healthy lifestyle on reducing the risk of cardiovascular disease and developing type 2 diabetes, while managing risk factors of obesity complications can greatly decrease the risk of other complications.