期刊
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
卷 189, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2020.103043
关键词
Diversification; Forward integration; Value addition; Resilience
The study suggests that pursuing on-farm diversification and in-country processing can enhance the resilience of the cocoa value chain, especially when safety stocks are low. A cooperative strategy involving both Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire in this regard was found to be the most effective in ensuring resilience.
Objective: This paper examines the ex-ante impacts of on-farm diversification and forward integration strategies on agricultural value chain resilience, with an empirical focus on Ghana's cocoa value chain. Method: System dynamics modelling was used to explore five scenarios involving variable-input on-farm diversification pursued by cocoa farmers in Ghana and the simultaneous adoption of forward integration stra-tegies by Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire. Results and Conclusions: An adaptive strategy involving the simultaneous pursuit of variable-input on-farm diversification and a cooperative forward integration strategy by both Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire was found to result in the highest level of resilience. Under such an adaptive strategy, in-country processors will be the most impacted when the level of safety stocks are below 25% of the average stock level during the period of losses in raw material production. Significance: The findings suggest that a policy direction that supports on-farm diversification and in-country processing enhances the aggregate resilience of the cocoa value chain, irrespective of the forward integration strategy adopted by Cote d'Ivoire.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据