4.5 Article

A comprehensive survey on conventional and modern neural networks: application to river flow forecasting

期刊

EARTH SCIENCE INFORMATICS
卷 14, 期 2, 页码 893-911

出版社

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s12145-021-00599-1

关键词

Machine learning; Neurocomputing; Surface hydrology; Evolutionary algorithms; Artificial intelligence

资金

  1. Alexander von Humboldt Foundation

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This study compares different types of neural networks in forecasting daily flow in the Thames River, finding that all models effectively predict daily flow rate, with integrative neural networks performing slightly better than others.
This study appraises different types of conventional (e.g., GRNN, RBNN, & MLPNN) and modern neural networks (e.g., integrative, inclusive, hybrid, & recurrent) in forecasting daily flow in the Thames River located in the United Kingdom. The models are mathematically, statistically, and diagnostically compared based on the forecasted results for ten different time-series assortments. The results indicate that all the neural network models acceptably forecasted the daily flow rate, with mean values of R-2 > 0.92 and RMSE < 18.6 m(3)/s. Despite the fact that the integrative neural network models slightly acted better in forecasting flow rate (mean values of R-2 > 0.94 and RMSE < 15.3 m(3)/s), they were not as computationally effective as the other applied models.

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