CT texture analysis for prediction of EGFR mutational status and ALK rearrangement in patients with non-small cell lung cancer

Purpose To develop a CT texture-based model able to predict epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated, anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-rearranged lung adenocarcinomas and distinguish them from wild-type tumors on pre-treatment CT scans. Materials and methods Texture analysis was performed using proprietary software TexRAD (TexRAD Ltd, Cambridge, UK) on pre-treatment contrast-enhanced CT scans of 84 patients with metastatic primary lung adenocarcinoma. Textural features were quantified using the filtration-histogram approach with different spatial scale filters on a single 5-mm-thick central slice considered representative of the whole tumor. In order to deal with class imbalance regarding mutational status percentages in our population, the dataset was optimized using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) and correlations with textural features were investigated using a generalized boosted regression model (GBM) with a nested cross-validation approach (performance averaged over 1000 resampling episodes). Results ALK rearrangements, EGFR mutations and wild-type tumors were observed in 19, 28 and 37 patients, respectively, in the original dataset. The balanced dataset was composed of 171 observations. Among the 29 original texture variables, 17 were employed for model building. Skewness on unfiltered images and on fine texture was the most important features. EGFR-mutated tumors showed the highest skewness while ALK-rearranged tumors had the lowest values with wild-type tumors showing intermediate values. The average accuracy of the model calculated on the independent nested validation set was 81.76% (95% CI 81.45-82.06). Conclusion Texture analysis, in particular skewness values, could be promising for noninvasive characterization of lung adenocarcinoma with respect to EGFR and ALK mutations.

Automated summary

The study aimed to develop a CT texture-based model to predict EGFR-mutated, ALK-rearranged lung adenocarcinomas and distinguish them from wild-type tumors. Results showed that texture analysis, particularly skewness values, could be promising for noninvasive characterization of lung adenocarcinoma with respect to EGFR and ALK mutations, achieving an average accuracy of 81.76% on the validation set.