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Physics-informed machine learning: case studies for weather and climate modelling

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ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0093

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neural networks; physical constraints; turbulent flows; physics-informed machine learning; weather and climate modeling

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This study explores systematic approaches to incorporating physics and domain knowledge into machine learning models, showing successful applications in emulating, downscaling, and forecasting weather and climate processes. Through 10 case studies, it demonstrates improvements in physical consistency, reduced training time, enhanced data efficiency, and better generalization.
Machine learning (ML) provide novel and powerful ways of accurately and efficiently recognizing complex patterns, emulating nonlinear dynamics, and predicting the spatio-temporal evolution of weather and climate processes. Off-the-shelf ML models, however, do not necessarily obey the fundamental governing laws of physical systems, nor do they generalize well to scenarios on which they have not been trained. We survey systematic approaches to incorporating physics and domain knowledge into ML models and distill these approaches into broad categories. Through 10 case studies, we show how these approaches have been used successfully for emulating, downscaling, and forecasting weather and climate processes. The accomplishments of these studies include greater physical consistency, reduced training time, improved data efficiency, and better generalization. Finally we synthesize the lessons learned and identify scientific, diagnostic, computational, and resource challenges for developing truly robust and reliable physics-informed ML models for weather and climate processes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Machine learning for weather and climate modelling'.

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