Early response by MR imaging and ultrasound as predictor of pathologic complete response to 12-week neoadjuvant therapy for different early breast cancer subtypes: Combined analysis from the WSG ADAPT subtrials

We evaluated the role of early response after 3 weeks of neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) assessed by ultrasound (US), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and Ki-67 dynamics for prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) in different early breast cancer subtypes. Patients with HR+/HER2+, HR-/HER2- and HR-/HER2+ tumors enrolled into three neoadjuvant WSG ADAPT subtrials underwent US, MRI and Ki-67 assessment at diagnosis and after 3 weeks of NAT. Early response was defined as complete or partial response (US, MRI) and >= 30% proliferation decrease or <500 invasive tumor cells (Ki-67). Predictive values and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curves for prediction of pCR (ypT0/is ypN0) after 12-week NAT were calculated. Two hundred twenty-six had MRI and 401 US; 107 underwent both MRI and US. All three methods yielded a similar AUC in HR+/HER2+ (0.66-0.67) and HR-/HER2- tumors (0.53-0.63), while MRI and Ki-67 performed better than US in HR-/HER2+ tumors (0.83 and 0.79 vs 0.56). Adding MRI+/-Ki-67 increased AUC of US in HR-/HER2+ tumors to 0.64 to 0.75. MRI and Ki-67 demonstrated highest sensitivity in HR-/HER2- (0.8-1) and HR-/HER2+ tumors (1, both). Negative predictive value was similar for all methods in HR+/HER2+ (0.71-0.74) and HR-/HER2- tumors (0.85-1), while it was higher for MRI and Ki-67 compared to US in HR-/HER2+ subtype (1 vs 0.5). Early response assessed by US, MRI and Ki-67 is a strong predictor for pCR after 12-week NAT. Strength of pCR prediction varies according to tumor subtype. Adding MRI+/-Ki-67 to US did not improve pCR prediction in majority of our patients.

Automated summary

Early response assessed by ultrasound, MRI and Ki-67 is a strong predictor for pathologic complete response (pCR) in breast cancer patients. The predictive value varies among different subtypes, with MRI and Ki-67 performing better than ultrasound in HR-/HER2+ tumors. Adding MRI+/-Ki-67 did not significantly improve pCR prediction in most patients.