4.6 Article

On the imprecision of full conditional probabilities

期刊

SYNTHESE
卷 199, 期 1-2, 页码 3761-3782

出版社

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-020-02954-z

关键词

Imprecise probabilities; Full conditional probabilities; Independence

资金

  1. Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) [RO 4548/8-1]
  2. Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) [RO 4548/8-1]
  3. Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico (CNPq)
  4. Funda de Amparo squisa do Sao Paulo (FAPESP)

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The purpose of this paper is to highlight that when conditional probabilities are adopted as the primitive concept of probability, there may be imprecise probability values and questions that fail to have numerically precise answers, even in very ordinary circumstances.
The purpose of this paper is to show that if one adopts conditional probabilities as the primitive concept of probability, one must deal with the fact that even in very ordinary circumstances at least some probability values may be imprecise, and that some probability questions may fail to have numerically precise answers.

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