期刊
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
卷 41, 期 -, 页码 E3279-E3297出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6924
关键词
predictability; rainfall variability; seasonal rainfall; South Pacific High
资金
- UBACYT 2017-2019 [20020160100009BA]
- UBACYT 2018-2020 [20620170100012BA]
The aim of this study is to quantify the influence of the South Pacific High (SPH) on seasonal rainfall in Argentina. Results show that the intensity of SPH mainly affects precipitation in northern and southern Argentina, while the latitudinal shift of SPH impacts the northeast in summer and winter, as well as regions in the south and central of the country during winter and spring. The study suggests that the position and intensity of SPH can provide some predictability for rainfall in certain regions of Argentina.
The aim of this work is to quantify the influence of the position and intensity of the South Pacific High (SPH) over seasonal rainfall in Argentina. Some indices were defined to measure the position and intensity of the SPH, and they were correlated with seasonal precipitation to study the relationship between them. Results indicate that the intensity of the SPH affects precipitation mainly in northern Argentina during spring and in the southern region in autumn and winter. The latitudinal shift of the SPH has proved to have a relevant impact on precipitation in the northeast in summer and winter, and in some regions of southern and central Argentina during winter and spring. When studying the possibility to foresee precipitation behaviour with a one-month lag, these metrics were not able to predict precipitation effectively in the northwest. On the contrary, the SPH intensity showed significant lagged correlations with rainfall mainly in the northeast, central-east and south during spring and summer while the position of the SPH is mostly significantly correlated with summer and winter precipitation in the northeast and central Argentina. Results suggest that the situation of SPH can provide some rainfall predictability.
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