期刊
LIVING REVIEWS IN RELATIVITY
卷 23, 期 1, 页码 -出版社
SPRINGER INT PUBL AG
DOI: 10.1007/s41114-020-00026-9
关键词
Gravitational waves; Gravitational-wave detectors; Electromagnetic counterparts; Data analysis
资金
- Council of Scientific and Industrial Research of India
- Department of Science and Technology, India
- Science and Engineering Research Board (SERB), India
- Ministry of Human Resource Development, India
- Spanish Agencia Estatal de Investigacion
- Vicepresidencia i Conselleria d'Innovacio, Recerca i Turisme
- Conselleria d'Educacio i Universitat del Govern de les Illes Balears
- Conselleria d'Educacio, Investigacio, Cultura i Esport de la Generalitat Valenciana
- National Science Centre of Poland
- Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF)
- Russian Foundation for Basic Research
- Russian Science Foundation
- European Commission
- European Regional Development Funds (ERDF)
- Royal Society
- Scottish Funding Council
- Scottish Universities Physics Alliance
- Hungarian Scientific Research Fund (OTKA)
- Lyon Institute of Origins (LIO)
- Paris I le-de-France Region
- National Research, Development and Innovation Office Hungary (NKFIH)
- National Research Foundation of Korea
- Industry Canada
- Province of Ontario through the Ministry of Economic Development and Innovation
- Natural Science and Engineering Research Council Canada
- Canadian Institute for Advanced Research
- Brazilian Ministry of Science, Technology, Innovations, and Communications
- International Center for Theoretical Physics South American Institute for Fundamental Research (ICTP-SAIFR)
- Research Grants Council of Hong Kong
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
- Leverhulme Trust
- Research Corporation
- Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan
- Kavli Foundation
- MEXT
- JSPS Leading-edge Research Infrastructure Program
- JSPS [26000005, 2905: JP17H06358, JP17H06361, JP17H06364, 17H06133]
- Institute for Cosmic Ray Research, University of Tokyo in Japan
- National Research Foundation (NRF) in Korea
- Computing Infrastructure Project of KISTI-GSDC in Korea
- Academia Sinica (AS)
- AS Grid Center (ASGC)
- Ministry of Science and Technology (MoST) in Taiwan [AS-CDA-105-M06]
- JSPS Core-to-Core Program A. Advanced Research Networks
- Italian Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN)
- French Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Foundation for Fundamental Research on Matter - Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research
- STFC [PPA/G/S/2002/00652, ST/V001396/1, ST/V001167/1, ST/V001337/1, ST/J00166X/1, ST/S000550/1, ST/N000072/1, ST/T00049X/1, ST/R00045X/1, ST/N000633/1, ST/V001019/1, ST/I006269/1, ST/P000673/1, ST/N005430/1, ST/T000147/1, ST/K000845/1, ST/N005422/1, 1947165, ST/S000305/1, ST/H002006/1] Funding Source: UKRI
We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of 10(5); 10(6); 10(7) Mpc(3) for binary neutron star, neutron star-black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of 1-(12t)(1+) (10(-10)(+52)) for binary neutron star mergers, of 0(-0)(+19) (1(-1)(+91)) for neutron star-black hole mergers, and 17(-11)(+22) (79(-44)(+89)) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.
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