Plasma Volume Status and Its Association With In-Hospital and Postdischarge Outcomes in Decompensated Heart Failure

Background: Prior analyses suggest an association between formula-based plasma volume (PV) estimates and outcomes in heart failure (HF). We assessed the association between estimated PV status by the Duarte-ePV and Kaplan Hakim (KH-ePVS) formulas, and in-hospital and postdischarge clinical outcomes, in the ASCEND-HF trial. Methods and Results: The KH-ePVS and Duarte-ePV were calculated on admission. We assessed associations with in-hospital worsening HF, 30-day composite cardiovascular mortality or HF rehospitalization and 180-day all-cause mortality. There were 6373 (89.2%), and 6354 (89.0%) patients who had necessary characteristics to calculate KH-ePVS and Duarte-ePV, respectively. There was no association between PV by either formula with in-hospital worsening HF. KH-ePVS showed a weak correlation with N-terminal prohormone BNP, and with measures of decongestion such as body weight change and urine output (r < 0.3 for all). Duarte-ePV was trending toward an association with worse 30-day (adjusted odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.15, P = .058), but not 180-day outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 0.97-1.09, P = .289). A continuous KH-ePVS of >0 (per 10-unit increase) was associated with improved 30-day outcomes (adjusted odds ratio 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91, P = .004). The continuous KH-ePVS was not associated with 180-day outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio 1.05, 95% CI 0.98-1.12, P = .139). Conclusions: Baseline PV estimates had a weak association with in-hospital measures of decongestion. The Duarte-ePV trended toward an association with early clinical outcomes in decompensated HF, and may improve risk stratification in HF.

Automated summary

This study found that estimated plasma volume in heart failure patients is weakly associated with clinical outcomes, with Duarte-ePV showing a trend towards association with 30-day outcomes. KH-ePVS was significantly related to 30-day outcomes but not to 180-day outcomes.