期刊
SCIENCE
卷 368, 期 6497, 页码 1327-+出版社
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.aaz7005
关键词
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资金
- David and Lucille Packard Foundation
- NSF [1714972, 1802880, DMS-1520873]
- U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) National Institute of Food and Agriculture, Agricultural and Food Research Initiative Competitive Programme, Ecosystem Services and Agro-ecosystem Management [2018-67019-27850]
- USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture, Agricultural and Food Research Initiative Competitive Programme [2018-67012-31496]
- University of California Laboratory Fees Research Program [LFR-20-652467]
- NASA Earth Ventures grant [NNL15AA03C]
- NASA Applied Sciences [NNX17AG51G]
- U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research RUBISCO science focus area
- University of California - National Laboratory laboratory fees program
- European Research Council Synergy project [SyG-2013-610028]
- ANR CLAND Convergence Institute
- Andrew W. Mellon Foundation [GBMF5439]
Forests have considerable potential to help mitigate human-caused climate change and provide society with many cobenefits. However, climate-driven risks may fundamentally compromise forest carbon sinks in the 21st century. Here, we synthesize the current understanding of climate-driven risks to forest stability from fire, drought, biotic agents, and other disturbances. We review how efforts to use forests as natural climate solutions presently consider and could more fully embrace current scientific knowledge to account for these climate-driven risks. Recent advances in vegetation physiology, disturbance ecology, mechanistic vegetation modeling, large-scale ecological observation networks, and remote sensing are improving current estimates and forecasts of the risks to forest stability. A more holistic understanding and quantification of such risks will help policy-makers and other stakeholders effectively use forests as natural climate solutions.
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