4.5 Article

Critical aspects for collision induced oil spill response and recovery system in ice conditions: A model-based analysis

出版社

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104198

关键词

Risk management; COOR system; Mechanical oil recovery; Ice conditions

资金

  1. BONUS (Art. 185) - European Union's Seventh Programme for research, technological development and demonstration
  2. Academy of Finland
  3. Estonian Research Council
  4. Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (FORMAS)
  5. SIMREC project (CBC 2014-2020) - European Union
  6. Russian Federation
  7. Republic of Finland
  8. Marine Observation, Prediction and Response (MEOPAR) Network of Centers of Excellence

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The recovery effectiveness for oil spills in ice conditions depends on a complex system and has not been studied in depth, especially not from a system risk control perspective. This paper aims to identify the critical aspects in the oil spill system to enable effective oil spill recovery. First, a method is developed to identify critical elements in a Bayesian Network model, based on an uncertainty-based risk perspective. The method accounts for sensitivity and the strength of evidence, which are assessed for the different Bayesian Network model features. Then, a Bayesian Network model for the mechanical oil spill recovery system is developed for the Finnish oil spill response fleet, contextualized for representative collision accident scenarios. This model combines information about representative sea ice conditions, ship-ship collisions and their associated oil outflow, the oil dispersion and spreading in the ice conditions, and the oil spill response and recovery of the fleet. Finally, the critical factors are identified by applying the proposed method to the developed oil spill response system model. The identified most critical system factors relates collision aspect: Forcing Representative Scenario, Representative Accident Location, Impact Speed, Impact Location, Impact Angle and response aspect: Response Vessel Operability.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.5
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

暂无数据
暂无数据