Biased Minimax Probability Machine-Based Adaptive Regression for Online Analysis of Gasoline Property

Near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy plays a critical role in online analysis of difficult-to-measure properties of petrochemicals. In industrial applications, a calibration model among NIR spectra and properties must be established. However, it is a challenge to obtain a precision NIR model in the majority of petrochemical processes since industrial data present strong non-Gaussian and uncertainty characteristics. To deal with these problems, in the present work a probabilistic regression modeling method based on a biased minimax probability machine (BMPM) is proposed, without assuming any specific distributions for the data, in this article. In addition, a multiple locally weighted updating approach with a new supervised similarity distance is introduced to cope with process changes. The greatest advantage of the proposed approach is that it has superior capability in dealing with uncertainties and variations. The effectiveness of the method is illustrated through its application in an actual gasoline blending process and a simulated fermentation process.