期刊
EUROSURVEILLANCE
卷 25, 期 18, 页码 19-24出版社
EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION & CONTROL
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543
关键词
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资金
- NTD Modelling Consortium by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1184344]
- Department for International Development/Wellcome Epidemic Preparedness Coronavirus research programme [221303/Z/20/Z]
- Effectiveness of Supplementary Immunization Activities by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1191821]
For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.
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