4.5 Article

Combining Artificial Intelligence with Physics-Based Methods for Probabilistic Renewable Energy Forecasting

期刊

ENERGIES
卷 13, 期 8, 页码 -

出版社

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/en13081979

关键词

wind energy; solar energy; renewable energy forecasting; artificial intelligence; machine learning

资金

  1. National Science Foundation [1852977]
  2. Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research [P-KISR-12]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

A modern renewable energy forecasting system blends physical models with artificial intelligence to aid in system operation and grid integration. This paper describes such a system being developed for the Shagaya Renewable Energy Park, which is being developed by the State of Kuwait. The park contains wind turbines, photovoltaic panels, and concentrated solar renewable energy technologies with storage capabilities. The fully operational Kuwait Renewable Energy Prediction System (KREPS) employs artificial intelligence (AI) in multiple portions of the forecasting structure and processes, both for short-range forecasting (i.e., the next six hours) as well as for forecasts several days out. These AI methods work synergistically with the dynamical/physical models employed. This paper briefly describes the methodology used for each of the AI methods, how they are blended, and provides a preliminary assessment of their relative value to the prediction system. Each operational AI component adds value to the system. KREPS is an example of a fully integrated state-of-the-science forecasting system for renewable energy.

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