期刊
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
卷 20, 期 1, 页码 -出版社
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-020-01597-7
关键词
Climate change; Vulnerability; Resilience; Water; Conflict; North Africa
资金
- Projekt DEAL
- University of Koblenz-Landau
- Peace Academy Rhineland-Palatinate
- Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) under the project 'SaliDraa 2' [01UU1906]
- German Research Foundation (DFG) [HE 6186/4-1, 408057478]
- University of Hamburg's Cluster of Excellence 'Climate, Climatic Change and Society - CLICCS' - DFG
North Africa is considered a climate change hot spot. Existing studies either focus on the physical aspects of climate change or discuss the social ones. The present article aims to address this divide by assessing and comparing the climate change vulnerability of Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia and linking it to its social implications. The vulnerability assessment focuses on climate change exposure, water resources, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The results suggest that all countries are exposed to strong temperature increases and a high drought risk under climate change. Algeria is most vulnerable to climate change, mainly due to the country's high sensitivity. Across North Africa, the combination of climate change and strong population growth is very likely to further aggravate the already scarce water situation. The so-called Arab Spring has shown that social unrest is partly caused by unmet basic needs of the population for food and water. Thus, climate change may become an indirect driver of social instability in North Africa. To mitigate the impact of climate change, it is important to reduce economic and livelihood dependence on rain-fed agriculture, strengthen sustainable land use practices, and increase the adaptive capacity. Further, increased regional cooperation and sub-national vulnerability assessments are needed.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据