Paths for colonization or exodus? New insights from the brown bear (Ursus arctos) population of the Cantabrian Mountains

Over the centuries, the geographical distribution of brown bear (Ursus arctos) across the Iberian Peninsula has been decreasing, with the species currently confined to North Iberia. The Cantabrian brown bear population is one of the smallest in Europe and is structured into two subpopulations, positioned along an east-west axis. Given the current critically endangered status of this population, it is essential to have a clear picture of its within-population genetic patterns and processes. We use a set of three molecular markers (mitochondrial DNA, autosomal microsatellites and sex markers) to clarify the genetic origins and assess the migration patterns and gene flow of the Cantabrian brown bear population. Our results reveal the presence of two different mitochondrial (matrilineal) haplotypes in the Cantabrian population, both belonging to European brown bear clade 1a. The two haplotypes are geographically structured between Eastern (haplotype CanE) and Western Cantabrian (haplotype CanW) subpopulations, which is consistent with the genetic structure previously identified using nuclear markers. Additionally, we show that CanE is closer to the historical Pyrenean (Pyr) haplotype than to CanW. Despite strong structuring at the levels of mtDNA and nuclear loci, there is evidence of bidirectional gene flow and admixture among subpopulations. Gene flow is asymmetrical and significantly more intense from the Eastern to the Western Cantabrian subpopulation. In fact, we only detected first generation male migrants from the Eastern to the Western Cantabrian subpopulation. These results suggest more intense migration from the smaller and more vulnerable Eastern Cantabrian subpopulation towards the larger and more stable Western Cantabrian subpopulation. These new insights are relevant for assessments of on-going conservation measures, namely the role of dispersal corridors and enhanced connectivity. We discuss the importance of complementary conservation measures, such as human-wildlife conflict mitigation and habitat improvement, for the conservation of a viable Cantabrian brown bear population.