期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 47, 期 3, 页码 -出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085809
关键词
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资金
- NSF [AGS1540518]
- NASA
- NASA ACMAP-AST project
- NASA MAP project
Climate models predict that the tropical ascending region should tighten under global warming, but observational quantification of the tightening rate is limited. Here we show that the observed spatial extent of the relatively moist, rainy and cloudy regions in the tropics associated with large-scale ascent has been decreasing at a rate of -1%/decade (-5%/K) from 1979 to 2016, resulting from combined effects of interdecadal variability and anthropogenic forcings, with the former contributing more than the latter. The tightening of tropical ascent is associated with an increase in the occurrence frequency of extremely strong ascent, leading to an increase in the average precipitation rate in the top 1% of monthly rainfall in the tropics. At the margins of the convective zones such as the Southeast Amazonia region, the contraction of large-scale ascent is related to a long-term drying trend about -3.2%/decade in the past 38 years.
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