期刊
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
卷 172, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106532
关键词
Supply-side input-output model; Transboundary river basin; Water supply restriction; Climate change; Economic impacts; Water policy
资金
- Integrated Modelling Program for Canada (IMPC) as part of the Canada First Research Excellence Fund (CFREF) project, Global Water Futures (GWF)
- International Dean's Scholarship from the College of Graduate and Postdoctoral Studies
- PhD Excellence Scholarship from the School of Environmental and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan
Finding sustainable pathways to efficiently allocate limited available water resources among increasingly competing water uses has become crucial due to climate-change-induced water shortages and increasing water demand. This has led to an urgent need for the inclusion of economic principles, models, and methods in water resources management. Although several studies have developed macro-economic models to evaluate the economic impacts of alternative water allocation strategies, many if not most ignore the hydrological boundaries of transboundary river basins. Furthermore, of those using input-output (IO) models, only a handful have applied supply-side IO models. In this paper, we present one of the first attempts to develop an inter-regional, supply-side IO modelling framework for a multi-jurisdictional, transboundary river basin to assess the direct and indirect economic impacts of water supply restrictions due to climate and policy change. Applying this framework to the Saskatchewan River Basin in Canada encompassing three provinces, we investigate the economic impacts of two different water supply restriction scenarios on the entire river basin and its sub-basins individually. We find that in the face of climate-change-induced water shortage, economic losses can be reduced by almost 50% by adopting appropriate management practices, including prioritization of water allocation, using alternative water sources, and water re-use technologies.
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