期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 46, 期 22, 页码 13346-13354出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085340
关键词
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资金
- National Nature Science Foundation of China [41675073]
- SOA Program on Global Change and Air-Sea interactions [GASI-IPOVAI-03]
- National Key Research and Development Program [2018YFC1506002]
- U.S. National Science Foundation [AGS1406601]
- U.S. Department of Energy [DE-SC000511]
- Institute for Basic Science [IBSR028-D1]
Previous studies argued that the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) impacts tropical cyclone (TC) genesis variability over the southeastern part of the western North Pacific (SE-WNP). Here, we find that the statistical relationship between PMM and SE-WNP TC genesis frequency is dominated by their co-variability on decadal timescales. The decadal component of the PMM exhibits very similar temporal and spatial features to quasi-decadal tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability. The latter can affect SE-WNP TC activity via changes in both zonal vertical wind shear and low-level vorticity. In contrast, the interannual component of the PMM exhibits no statistically significant correlation with SE-WNP TC genesis. Furthermore, observations show that both interannual and decadal variability of SE-WNP TC activity are well correlated with the commonly used Nino3.4 El Nino-Southern Oscillation index. Thus, equatorial Pacific SST variability is the dominant source of SE-WNP TC activity predictability on different timescales.
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