4.7 Article

Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

期刊

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 14, 期 12, 页码 -

出版社

IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256

关键词

climate change; climate model; Paris agreement; inequality

资金

  1. Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan [ERTDF 2-1702]
  2. TOU-GOU (MEXT, Japan)
  3. Research Council of Norway [261821, 243953]
  4. UNINETT Sigma2 [ns9082k]
  5. German Federal Ministry of Education and Research [01LS1613A, 01LS1613B]
  6. German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety [16_II_148_Global_A_IMPACT]
  7. Office of Science of the US Department of Energy [DE-AC02-05CH11231]
  8. NERC [NE/R009554/1, NE/N014057/1] Funding Source: UKRI

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C warming simulations. In the 2 degrees C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world's population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 degrees C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees C, compared to 2 degrees C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions.

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