Prognostic value of U2AF1 mutant in patients with de novo myelodysplastic syndromes: a meta-analysis

U2 small nuclear RNA auxiliary factor 1 (U2AF1) mutant is the most common molecular biological abnormality in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes. Some studies have reported the prognostic impact of U2AF1 mutant in patients with de novo MDS, with discrepant results, so we do a meta-analysis about the relevant literatures to further investigate their prognostic impact on patients with de novo MDS. We conducted a literature search on databases such as PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library to obtain studies on the prognosis of U2AF1 mutant in patients with de novo MDS published up to August 9, 2018. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoint was acute myeloid leukemia (AML) transformation. We extracted the hazard ratios (HRs) of OS and AML transformation and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Meta-analysis was performed by selecting a fixed-effect model or a random-effects model based on the heterogeneity between studies. A total of 14 cohort studies were included in the final meta-analysis, including 3322 patients with de no MDS, in which 390 patients were associated with U2AF1 mutant. The results showed that U2AF1 mutant had an adverse prognostic impact on OS (HR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.45-2.33, P < 0.00001) and AML transformation (HR = 2.47, 95% CI: 1.50-4.06, P = 0.0004). U2AF1 mutant was associated with shorter OS in subgroup analyses of low- or intermediate-1-IPSS, U2AF1(S34) and U2AF1(Q157/R156). Out meta-analysis indicates that U2AF1 mutants are independent, detrimental prognostic factors for OS and AML transformation in patients with de novo MDS, as well as associating with shorter OS in subgroups of low- or intermediate-1-IPSS, U2AF1(S34) and U2AF1(Q157/R156). Further prospective studies are needed in the future, and subgroup analysis of U2AF1 subgroups is needed to obtain a more reliable basis for the impact of U2AF1 mutant on the prognosis of de novo MDS.