Land suitability modeling for newly reclaimed area using GIS-based multi-criteria decision analysis

Selecting the appropriate land use is one of the most important steps toward achieving sustainable development. The main objective of this research is to develop a new method to overcome the contradiction occurring when using the conventional methods to evaluate land suitability for newly reclaimed areas. A spatial model was developed to assess land suitability for wheat in El-Minia Governorate, Egypt, using integration of modeling and geographic information systems-based multi-criteria decision analysis (GIS-MCDA). Land suitability for wheat was performed using two approaches, namely the proposed model (GIS-MCDA) and the parametric method (square root). According to the square root, 75.0% of the study area was classified as not suitable, while the proposed model revealed that 20.5% of the study area was classified as highly suitable and 61.5% as moderately suitable. In order to examine the validity of the proposed model, a comparison was made between the obtained results of both the proposed model and the square root method with the actual yield of the wheat. The correlation coefficient (r) between actual yield and the estimated yield of the square root method was 0.46, while the proposed model gives higher value (r = 0.95), which proves the validity of the proposed model in estimating land suitability for wheat cultivation. The findings of this research revealed that the integration of modeling and GIS-MCDA adopted by the proposed model provides an effective and flexible technique contributing to improve land suitability assessment for wheat in newly reclaimed areas to be more accurate and reliable.