期刊
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
卷 9, 期 7, 页码 503-511出版社
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0502-0
关键词
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资金
- UK Government's Department for International Development
- International Development Research Centre in Ottawa, Canada
- Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment
- UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy
- UK Economic and Social Research Council [ES/R002371/1]
- ESRC [ES/R002371/1, ES/R009708/1] Funding Source: UKRI
Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much-needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.
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