Improving a thermal conductivity model of unsaturated soils based on multivariate distribution analysis

Soil thermal conductivity (k) is a key parameter for the design of energy geo-structures, and it depends on many soil properties such as saturation degree, porosity, mineralogical composition, soil type and others. Capturing these diversified influencing factors in a soil thermal conductivity model is a challenging task for engineers due to the nonlinear dependencies. In this study, a multivariate distribution approach was utilized to improve an existing soil thermal conductivity model, Cote and Konrad model, by quantitatively considering the impacts of dry density (rho(d)), porosity (n), saturation degree (S-r), quartz content (m(q)), sand content (m(s)) and clay content (m(c)) on thermal conductivity of unsaturated soils. A large database containing these seven soil parameters was compiled from the literature to support the multivariate analysis. Simplified bivariate and multivariate correlations for improving the Cote and Konrad model were derived analytically and numerically to consider different influencing factors. By incorporating these simplified correlations, the predicted k values were more concentrated around the measured values with the coefficient of determination (R-2) increased from 0.83 to 0.95. It is concluded that the developed correlations with the information of different soil properties provide an efficient, rational and simple way to predict soil thermal conductivity more accurately. Moreover, the quartz content is a more important factor than the porosity that shall be considered in the establishment of thermal conductivity models for unsaturated soils with high quartz content.