The impact of climate change on water fluxes in a Macaronesian cloud forest

Fog phenomena and their associated meteorological variables were continuously monitored during 4 years in an evergreen laurisilva cloud forest of the Anaga Massif Biosphere Reserve (Tenerife, Canary Islands), in order to establish its current dynamics. Fog was more frequent during night through early morning and in the afternoon, and particularly from May until September, coincidental with a frequent immersion of the 1025 m a.s.l. experimental site in the cloud layer of wind-driven stratocumulus. The concomitant meteorological conditions during different fog regimes, characterized according to visibility (omega) ranges, were compared with those when fog was absent. The presence of fog was associated with a significant reduction in global solar radiation, R-g, increased wind speed, and lower and more stable ambient temperatures. The foggy versus fog-free hourly medians of R-g were found to be linearly related, whereas the proportion of median R-g reduction due to fog varied logarithmically with omega. However, foggy versus fog-free extreme values of the hourly R-g distributions departed from such a linear trend. By contrast, hourly temperatures during foggy versus fog-free periods behaved linearly for most of the omega range, except for very dense fog, omega <= 100 m. Transpiration of the canopy, intermittently wetted due to interception of both rain and fog water droplets, was determined by quantifying the water balance at leaf scale with a mathematical model for the two representative hypostomatous species present at the site: the arboreal shrub Erica platycodon, with needle-like leaves, and the laurophyll tree Myrica faya. Both tree transpiration and evaporation of the intercepted fog water were predictively higher during summer. By contrast, transpiration was reduced during February, in agreement with a 1 year period of sap velocity measurements, and was not appreciably affected by soil moisture content. The consequences of an anticipated downward shift of the stratocumulus cloud layer and of various projected Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios in the Macaronesian area were simulated, yielding in all cases a significant rise in transpiration for both species. Particularly, the simulated RCPs scenarios implied 29%-73% increments in transpiration from the actual values. Because fog is concomitant with lower temperatures and vapour pressure deficit, the modification of its current distribution as a consequence of climate change may have a direct effect on such associated meteorological variables, and therefore a meaningful impact in the water relations of the laurel cloud forests.