期刊
SCIENCE ADVANCES
卷 5, 期 5, 页码 -出版社
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aav2539
关键词
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资金
- European Research Council [268543]
- Swiss National Science Foundation [31003A_169671]
- Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology [FPI BES-2011-045169]
- BBVA Foundation (grant PERDIVER)
- National Commission of Research and Technology from the Chilean Government [CONICITY PIA/BASAL FB 0002-2014, FONDECYT 1170017]
- Regional Government of Aragon
- European Research Council (ERC) [268543] Funding Source: European Research Council (ERC)
- Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) [31003A_169671] Funding Source: Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF)
Climatically induced local species extinctions may trigger coextinction cascades, thus driving many more species to extinction than originally predicted by species distribution models. Using seven pollination networks across Europe that include the phylogeny and life history traits of plants, we show a substantial variability across networks in climatically predicted plant extinction-and particularly the subsequent coextinction-rates, with much higher values in Mediterranean than Eurosiberian networks. While geographic location best predicts the probability of a plant species to be driven to extinction by climate change, subsequent coextinctions are best predicted by the local network of interactions. These coextinctions not only increase the total number of plant species being driven to extinction but also add a bias in the way the major taxonomic and functional groups are pruned.
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