期刊
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
卷 665, 期 -, 页码 1017-1025出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.162
关键词
Agricultural carbon emissions; Agricultural energy consumption; Agricultural economic growth; ARDL; China's main grain-producing areas
资金
- National Key R&D Program of China [2018YFC0704700, 2018YFC0704702]
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [41471462]
- Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [lzujbky-2017-42, 18LZUJBWTD016]
- Soft Science Project of the Gansu Science and Technology Department [18CX1ZA042]
China is currently the world's largest carbon emitter. As a large agricultural country, understanding the relationship between carbon emissions, economic growth and energy consumption in the agricultural sector can contribute to achieving the sustainable development of agriculture. Hence, this paper aims to investigate the relationship between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the agricultural sector using a time series of data from China's main grain-producing areas during the period between 1996 and 2015. We first estimate the agricultural carbon emissions. And then based on the estimated results, we employ the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, the Granger causality test based on the vector error correction model (VECM), and impulse response and variance decomposition to test the relationship between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the agricultural sector. The estimated results support the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for agricultural carbon emissions in China's main grain-producing areas. Furthermore, agricultural energy consumption has both the short-run and the long-run negative impacts on agricultural carbon emissions. In addition, we find that there is a bidirectional causality between agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural economic growth in both the short-run and the long-run, and the unidirectional causalities are found to exist from agricultural energy consumption to agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural economic growth. Finally, several policy recommendations are offered to promote the sustainable development of agriculture in China's main grain-producing areas. (c) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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