4.2 Article

Bivariate first-order random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive processes

期刊

出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2019.05.004

关键词

Thinning models; Bivariate integer-valued autoregressive models; Random coefficient models; Forecasting

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [11871028, 11731015, 11571051, J1310022, 11501241]
  2. Natural Science Foundation of Jilin Province [20150520053JH, 20170101057JC, 20180101216JC]
  3. Program for Changbaishan Scholars of Jilin Province [2015010]
  4. Science and Technology Program of Jilin Educational Department during the 13th Five -Year Plan Period [2016316]

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In this paper, we propose a new bivariate first-order random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive (BRCINAR(1)) process with dependent innovations. Some basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are obtained. Estimators of unknown parameters are derived by using Yule-Walker, conditional least squares and conditional maximum likelihood methods. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established. The performance of these estimators is compared through a simulation experiment. Moreover, the coherent forecasting for BRCINAR(1) model is addressed. Finally, an application to a real data example is investigated to assess the performance of the model. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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