期刊
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
卷 42, 期 2, 页码 333-339出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdz033
关键词
climate change; emergency department admissions; extreme heat events; heatwave; public health; tasmania
Background Extreme heat (EH) events are increasing in frequency and duration and cause more deaths in Australia than any other extreme weather event. Consequently, EH events lead to an increase in the number of patient presentations to hospitals. Methods Climatic observations for Hobart's region arid Royal Hobart Hospital (RHH) emergency department admissions data were collected retrospectively for the study period of 2003-2010. A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was fitted using a generalized linear model with quasi-Poisson family to obtain adjusted estimates for the relationship between temperature and the relative risk of being admitted to the RHH. Results The model demonstrated that relative to the annual mean temperature of 14 degrees C, the relative risk of being admitted to the RHH for the years 2003-2010 was significantly higher for all temperatures above 27 degrees C (P < 0.05 in all cases). The peak effect upon admission was noted on the same day as the EH event, however, the model suggests that a lag effect exists, increasing the likelihood of admission to the RHH for a further 14 days. Conclusions To relieve the added burden on emergency departments during these events, adaptation strategies adopted by public health organizations could include preventative health initiatives.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据