期刊
NATURE MICROBIOLOGY
卷 4, 期 5, 页码 854-863出版社
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y
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资金
- Society in Science
- Branco Weiss Fellowship
- National Institute of Child Health and Human Development [T32HD040128]
- International Research Consortium on Dengue Risk Assessment Management and Surveillance (IDAMS
- European Commission 7th Framework Programme) [21893]
- Sir Henry Wellcome Fellowship - Wellcome Trust [206471/Z/17/Z]
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation [OP1183567]
- Research for Health in Humanitarian Crises (R2HC) Programme [13468]
- Department of International Development (DFiD)
- Wellcome Trust [95066]
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1106023, OPP1093011, OPP1132415, OPP1159934]
- American people through the US Agency for International Development Emerging Pandemic Threats Program-2 PREDICT-2 [AID-OAA-A-14-00102]
- National Library of Medicine of the National Institutes of Health [R01LM010812, R01LM011965]
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases [U10AI089674]
- European Commission through the European Research Council [324247]
- French Government's Investissement d'Avenir program
- Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases [ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID]
- French Agence Nationale de la Recherche [ANR-16-CE35-0004]
- City of Paris Emergence(s) programme in Biomedical Research
- European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under ZikaPLAN grant [734584]
- AXA Research Fund
- Investissement d'Avenir program
- Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program [ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID]
- Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study of the National Institute of General Medical Sciences
- INCEPTION project [PIA/ANR-16-CONV-0005]
- European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under ZIKAlliance grant [734548]
- University of Melbourne McKenzie fellowship
- VBORNET, an ECDC
- VectorNet, an ECDC
- EFSA [ECDC/09/018, OC/EFSA/AHAW/2013/02]
- National Institutes of Health Program Project grant [P01 AI098670]
- Natural Science Foundation of China [71771213, 71522014, 71725001, 91846301, 71790615]
- Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) [ANR-16-CE35-0004] Funding Source: Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR)
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.
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