Cumulative Effects of Climatic Factors on Terrestrial Vegetation Growth

Extensive studies have focused on instantaneous and time-lag impacts of climatic factors on vegetation growth; however, the chronical and accumulative indirect impacts of antecedent climatic factors carrying over for a period of time on vegetation growth, defined as cumulative effects, are less investigated. Here we aimed to disentangle the cumulative effects of climatic factors on vegetation growth by using vegetation indexes and accumulated meteorological data. First, we investigated the explanation and fit of climate changes on vegetation variations by applying stepwise multiple linear regression with Akaike information criterion. Then, we obtained the correlation coefficients and lagged time of climatic factors on vegetation growth whereby partial correlation and time-lag effect analyses. Results showed that (i) consideration of cumulative climate effects increased the explanation and fit of climate changes on vegetation dynamics for more than 77% of vegetated surface with an average global explanation of 68.33%, which was approximately 3.35% higher than the scenario when only time-lag effects were considered; (ii) big differences exhibited in the correlation coefficients and lagged times under the scenarios with cumulative climate effects considered or not; and (iii) positive accumulated temperature (accumulated solar radiation) effects with zero (three-month) time lag dominates most mid-high latitude ecosystems, and negative accumulated temperature effects with three-month delay dominates the temperate arid and semiarid regions and tropical dry ecosystems. By comparison, accumulated precipitation had relatively complex cumulative effects on vegetation growth. We concluded that climatic factors had significant cumulative effects on vegetation growth; consideration of the cumulative effects helps us better understand the climate-vegetation interactions.