期刊
BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
卷 190, 期 -, 页码 167-178出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001
关键词
Species distribution modelling; Species climate vulnerability traits; Model integration; Conservation planning for climate change
资金
- UNEP DEPI/GEF PARCC (Protected Areas Resilient to Climate Change) West Africa
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [1136586] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
To accommodate climate-driven changes in biological communities, conservation plans are increasingly making use of models to predict species' responses to climate change. To date, species distribution models have been the most commonly used approach for assessing species' vulnerability to climate change. Biological trait-based approaches, which have emerged recently, and which include consideration of species' sensitivity and adaptive capacity, provide alternative and potentially conflicting vulnerability assessments and present conservation practitioners and planners with difficult choices. Here we discuss the differing objectives and strengths of the approaches, and provide guidance to conservation practitioners for their application. We outline an integrative methodological framework for assessing climate change impacts on species that uses both traditional species distribution modelling approaches and biological trait-based assessments. We show how these models can be used conceptually as inputs to guide conservation monitoring and planning. Crown Copyright (C) 2015 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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