The Risk of Relapse after Anti-TNF Discontinuation in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES: To perform a meta-analysis of the risk of relapse after discontinuation of anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), to evaluate risk factors for relapse, and to assess the response to retreatment with the same anti-TNF. METHODS: Studies evaluating the incidence of relapse after anti-TNF discontinuation in patients with CD or UC who reached clinical remission with anti-TNFs were included. Bibliographies up to January 2015 were searched. Frequency of relapse after discontinuation of anti-TNF agents was determined; meta-analyses were performed using the inverse-variance method. RESULTS: We included 27 studies (21 infliximab and 6 infliximab/adalimumab). The overall risk of relapse after discontinuation of anti-TNF therapy was 44% for CD (95% confidence interval (CI) 36-51%; I-2 = 79%; 912 patients) and 38% for UC (23-52%; I-2 = 82%; 266 patients). In CD, the relapse rate was 38% at 6 months after discontinuation (short term), 40% at 12 months (medium term), and 49% at > 25 months (long term). In UC, 28% of patients relapsed at 12 months. In CD, when clinical remission was the only criterion for stopping anti-TNF therapy, the relapse rate after 1 year was 42%, which decreased to 26% when endoscopic remission was also required. Retreatment with the same anti-TNF induced remission again in 80% of cases (68-91%). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-third of patients with inflammatory bowel disease in remission under anti-TNF treatment relapsed 1 year after discontinuation. This proportion increased to half in the long term. In CD patients, the risk of relapse was lower when the criterion for discontinuation was endoscopic remission and not only clinical remission. Response to retreatment with the same anti-TNF agent was favorable.