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On the Explanatory Depth and Pragmatic Value of Coarse-Grained, Probabilistic, Causal Explanations

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PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
卷 86, 期 1, 页码 145-167

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UNIV CHICAGO PRESS
DOI: 10.1086/701072

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This article considers the thesis that a more proportional relationship between a cause and its effect yields a more abstract causal explanation of that effect, thereby producing a deeper explanation. This thesis has important implications for choosing the optimal granularity of explanation for a given explanandum. In this article, I argue that this thesis is not generally true of probabilistic causal relationships. In light of this finding, I propose a pragmatic measure of explanatory depth. This measure uses a decision-theoretic model of information pricing to determine the optimal granularity of explanation for a given explanandum, agent, and decision problem.

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