期刊
SCIENCE ADVANCES
卷 1, 期 10, 页码 -出版社
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1500936
关键词
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资金
- Alberta Mennega Stichting
- ALCOA Suriname
- Amazon Conservation Association
- Banco de la Republica
- CELOS Suriname
- CAPES (PNPG)
- Conselho Nacional de Desenvovimento Cientifico e Tecnologico of Brazil (CNPq)
- PELD [558069/2009-6, 403792/2012-6]
- PRONEX-FAPEAM [1600/2006]
- Areas Umidas, MAUA
- PPBio
- PVE [004/2012]
- Universal [479599/2008-4, 3078072009-6]
- FAPEAM [DCR/2006]
- Hidroveg
- FAPESP
- PRONEX
- Colciencias
- CONICIT
- Duke University
- Ecopetrol
- FEPIM [044/2003]
- The Field Museum
- Conservation International/DC
- Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation
- Guyana Forestry Commission
- Investissement d'Avenir grant of the French ANR [ANR-10-LABX-0025]
- IVIC
- Margaret Mee Amazon Trust
- Miquel fonds
- MCTI-Museu Paraense Emilio Goeldi-Proc [407232/2013-3-PVE-MEC/MCTI/CAPES/CNPq]
- National Geographic Society [7754-04, 8047-06, 6679-99, 7435-03, 8481-08]
- NSF Dissertation Improvement
- Netherlands Foundation for the Advancement of Tropical Research WOTRO [WB85-335, W84-581]
- Primate Conservation Inc.
- Programme Ecosystemes Tropicaux (French Ministry of Ecology and Sustainable Development)
- Shell Prospecting and Development Peru
- Smithsonian Institution's Biological Diversity of the Guiana Shield Program
- Stichting het van Eeden-fonds
- The Body Shop
- The Ministry of the Environment of Ecuador
- TROBIT
- TROBIT
- Tropenbos International
- U.S. National Science Foundation [NSF-0743457, NSF0101775, NSF-0918591]
- USAID
- Variety Woods Guyana
- Wenner-Gren Foundation
- WWF-Brazil
- WWF-Guianas
- Xlleme Contrat de Plan Etat Region-Guyane (French Government and European Union)
- European Union
- UK Natural Environment Research Council
- Gordon and BettyMoore Foundation
- European Research Council Advanced Grant
- Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award
- [NSF-0726797]
Estimates of extinction risk for Amazonian plant and animal species are rare and not often incorporated into land-use policy and conservation planning. We overlay spatial distribution models with historical and projected deforestation to show that at least 36% and up to 57% of all Amazonian tree species are likely to qualify as globally threatened under International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List criteria. If confirmed, these results would increase the number of threatened plant species on Earth by 22%. We show that the trends observed in Amazonia apply to trees throughout the tropics, and we predict thatmost of the world's >40,000 tropical tree species now qualify as globally threatened. A gap analysis suggests that existing Amazonian protected areas and indigenous territories will protect viable populations of most threatened species if these areas suffer no further degradation, highlighting the key roles that protected areas, indigenous peoples, and improved governance can play in preventing large-scale extinctions in the tropics in this century.
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