Effect of telomere length on survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an observational cohort study with independent validation

Background Short telomere lengths are found in a subset of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, but their clinical significance is unknown. Our aim was to investigate whether patients with various blood leucocyte telomere lengths had different overall survival. Methods In this observational cohort study, we enrolled patients with interstitial lung disease from Dallas, TX (primary cohort), and from Chicago, IL, and San Francisco, CA (replication cohorts). We obtained genomic DNA samples from unrelated healthy controls in Dallas, TX, and spouses of patients were also enrolled as an independent control group. Telomere lengths were measured in genomic DNA samples isolated from peripheral blood obtained at the time of the initial enrolment assessment. The primary endpoint was transplant-free survival (ie, time to death or lung transplantation) in the Dallas cohort. Findings were validated in the two independent idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis cohorts (Chicago and San Francisco). Findings 370 patients were enrolled into the Dallas cohort between June 17,2003, and Aug 25,2011. The 149 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis had shorter telomere lengths than did the 195 healthy controls (mean age-adjusted log-transformed ratio of telomere to single copy gene was -0.16 [SD 0.23] vs 0.00 [0.18]; p<0.0001); however, telomere lengths of the Dallas patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (1.33 [SD 0.25]) were similar to the 221 patients with other interstitial lung disease diagnoses (1.46 [0.24]) after adjusting for age, sex, and ethnicity (p=0.47). Telomere length was independently associated with transplant-free survival time for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (HR 0.22 [95% CI 0.08-0.63]; p=0.0048), but not for patients with interstitial lung disease diagnoses other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (HR 0.73 [0.16-3.41]; p=0.69). The association between telomere length and survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis was independent of age, sex, forced vital capacity, or diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide, and was replicated in the two independent idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis replication cohorts (Chicago cohort, HR 0.11 [0.03-0.39], p=0-00066; San Francisco cohort, HR 0.25 [0.07-0.87], p=0.029). Interpretation Shorter leucocyte telomere lengths are associated with worse survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Additional studies will be needed to establish clinically relevant thresholds for telomere length and how this biomarker might affect risk stratification of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.