3.9 Article

Mortality in Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: A Multivariated Analysis of 748 Brazilian Patients From Florianopolis City

出版社

LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
DOI: 10.1097/TA.0b013e318187acee

关键词

Severe traumatic brain injury; Prognostic models; Mortality; Logistic regression

资金

  1. CNPq (Brazilian Council for Scientific and Technologic Development, Brazil)
  2. FAPESC (Foundation for Scientific Research and Technology of Santa Catarina State)
  3. FEESC (Foundation for Education and Engineering of Santa Catarina)

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Background: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a major cause of incapacity and mortality worldwide, with most of the burden occurring in low-income and middle-income countries. A number of clinical, demographic, and neurosurgical variables of patients with TBI were associated with their outcome. Methods: We investigated the mortality of Brazilian patients with severe TBI at the time of discharge, using a multiple logistic regression analysis. Clinical, demographic, radiologic, and neurosurgical variables, and mortality at time of discharge of all consecutive patients (n = 748) with severe TBI (admission Glasgow scale <= 8) treated in our intensive care unit were analyzed. The variables were collected in a prospective manner between January 1994 and December 2003. Results: Eighty-four percent (n = 631) of the patients were men. The mean age was 34.8 (+/- 16.3) years mid the mortality was 33.3%. After the multiple logistic regression, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for death was higher in older (>60 years) than younger (up to 30 years) patients (OR = 2.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-4.79, p = 0.006). The mortality was also associated with subarachnoid hemorrhage (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.23-2.81, p = 0.003) on computed tomography (CT) scan; admission Glasgow Scale of 3 or 4 in comparison to 7 or 8 (OR = 3.97, 95% CI = 2.49- 6.31, p < 0.001); bilateral midryasis (OR = 11.52, 95% CI = 5.56-23.87, p < 0.0001), or anisocoria (OR = 2.65, 95% CI = 1.69-4.17, p < 0.0001) in comparison to isocoric pupils. There was a trend for higher mortality in patients with type III injury on the Marshall classification of CT (OR = 3.63, 95% CI = 0.84-15.76, p = 0.08) than in patients with normal CT. Patients without thoracic trauma disclose higher mortality than patients with associated thoracic trauma do (OR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.19-3.41, p = 0.009). The final model presented disclosed 76.9% of overall correct prediction with the survival and death predicted at 87.6% and 55.6%, respectively. Conclusion: Age, CT findings, Glasgow coma scale, pupil examination, and the presence of thoracic trauma at admission were independently associated with mortality at the time of discharge in Brazilian patients with severe TBI.

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