期刊
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
卷 2, 期 11, 页码 775-779出版社
NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1562
关键词
-
资金
- National Science Foundation
As climate models improve, decision-makers' expectations for accurate climate predictions are growing. Natural climate variability, however, poses inherent limits to climate predictability and the related goal of adaptation guidance in many places, as illustrated here for North America. Other locations with low natural variability show a more predictable future in which anthropogenic forcing can be more readily identified, even on small scales. We call for a more focused dialogue between scientists, policymakers and the public to improve communication and avoid raising expectations for accurate regional predictions everywhere.
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