A New Application of Flow Duration Curve (FDC) in Designing Run-of-River Power Plants

The present study evaluates the effects of river run-off regime and hydrological uncertainty on the hydroelectric production of a run-of-river power plant. The mean annual energy from a plant was modeled as a function of run-off regime and design flow, by means of a procedure developed on the mean annual Flow Duration Curves (FDCs) of 15 sample basins in the Umbria Region (Central Italy). Results show that energy output decreases from constant to torrential regimes, following a potential function, and that, the greater the design flow, the greater the rate of decrease. The treatment and validation of these results provided a useful tool for easy identification of optimal design flow, according to the hydrological features of the basin and the target hydroelectric production at the station. Analyses of FDCs with a 20-year return period also showed that the decrease in energy production in dry years and its increase in wet years, compared with the mean annual value, are linearly linked to the design flow. In the present context of possible climate change, this result is presented as the possibility of partially controlling the effects of positive or negative flow rate trends. The results reported here can be applied to any kind of river and hydraulic technology at the power station.