期刊
WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
卷 26, 期 15, 页码 4381-4396出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0150-x
关键词
Water resources; Simulation; Demand; Risk assessment; Resilience
资金
- eWater-CRC, Australia
- CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship
By the concept of systems risk and resilience, this paper presents a technique based on probabilistic and stochastic modelling to gauge the adequacy of the supply-demand relation of rainwater tank harvesting in suburban Melbourne, Australia. A domestic rainwater harvesting system may be viewed from a technical (e.g. risk of demand not being met), economic (e.g. most economical tank capacity), or managerial (e.g. acceptable duration of time with empty tank) perspective. Rather than the traditional command-and-control approach to system selection and management, risk assessment provides a flexible way, in probabilistic term, to address the technical and economic perspectives, whereas resilience concept addresses the managerial perspective. This has the advantage of allowing a number of criteria for gauging the performance of alternative harvesting systems, as shown in an example by Monte Carlo simulation for a typical household rainwater tank system in Melbourne. This research provides a typical paradigm for analysis of systems of cluster or regional scales.
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