期刊
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW
卷 67, 期 -, 页码 1-13出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2014.03.009
关键词
Inspection forecasting; Artificial neural networks; SARIMA; Hybrid models
类别
资金
- European project FEDER-FSE
- Fundacion Campus Tecnologico Bahia de Algeciras
In this paper, the number of goods subject to inspection at European Border Inspections Post are predicted using a hybrid two-step procedure. A hybridization methodology based on integrating the data obtained from autoregressive integrated moving averages (SARIMA) model in the artificial neural network model (ANN) to predict the number of inspections is proposed. Several hybrid approaches are compared and the results indicate that the hybrid models outperform either of the models used separately. This methodology may become a powerful decision-making tool at other inspection facilities of international seaports or airports. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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