期刊
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
卷 24, 期 -, 页码 83-101出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2012.02.008
关键词
Value of travel time variability; Travel time distribution; Nonparametrics; Stable distributions
资金
- Danish Social Science Research Council
- Kajima Foundation
- Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [23760475] Funding Source: KAKEN
This paper provides a detailed empirical investigation of the distribution of travel times on an urban road for valuation of travel time variability. Our investigation is premised on the use of a theoretical model with a number of desirable properties. The definition of the value of travel time variability depends on certain properties of the distribution of random travel times that require empirical verification. Applying a range of nonparametric statistical techniques to data giving minute-by-minute travel times for a congested urban road over a period of five months, we show that the standardized travel time is roughly independent of the time of day as required by the theory. Except for the extreme right tail, a stable distribution seems to fit the data well. The travel time distributions on consecutive links seem to share a common stability parameter such that the travel time distribution for a sequence of links is also a stable distribution. The parameters of the travel time distribution for a sequence of links can then be derived analytically from the link level distributions. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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