期刊
TEHNICKI VJESNIK-TECHNICAL GAZETTE
卷 25, 期 -, 页码 366-374出版社
UNIV OSIJEK, TECH FAC
DOI: 10.17559/TV-20170809140304
关键词
climate change; drinking water supply; water resources availability
资金
- EU IPA Adriatic Cross-Border Cooperation Programme 2007-2013 [1degreesSTR./0004]
- University of Rijeka [13.05.1.3.08]
This paper analyses impacts of climate change and anthropogenic pressure on groundwater resources in the Mirna river catchment used for water supply in Northern Istria (Croatia) up to 2050. Using Regional Climate Models simulations and hydrologic model, the future average annual and the characteristic (in critical period) water resource availabilities were calculated. Current and five future water demand scenarios were analysed. Water Exploitation Index (WEI) and modified Characteristic Water Exploitation Index (CWEI) were calculated. In 2050, the analysed springs will be subject to climate change consequences, with more extreme changes and intense variations. The WEI for average conditions indicates little risk of unmet future water demand. Considering seasonal variability, the future CWEIs indicates strong risk for most future water demand scenarios and overexploitation for water demand increases over 20%. The 2012 drought, more extreme than any considered future scenario, was also examined.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据