期刊
STOCHASTIC ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS
卷 32, 期 6, 页码 992-1008出版社
TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
DOI: 10.1080/07362994.2014.961088
关键词
Stochastic epidemic model; Extinction; Persistence in mean
This article examines the qualitative dynamics of an SIRS epidemic model with saturated incidence in random environments. First, we show that the global positive solutions of the stochastic model belongs to a bounded positively invariant set with probability one. Then we obtain the threshold between persistence and extinction of diseases. Furthermore, we establish certain asymptotic results regarding large time behavior. The results show that the introduction of noise in the deterministic SIRS model can change the properties of the epidemic model significantly.
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