Evaluation of the Gas Production Potential of Marine Hydrate Deposits in the Ulleung Basin of the Korean East Sea

Although significant hydrate deposits are known to exist in the Ulleung basin of the Korean East Sea, their survey and evaluation as a possible energy resource has not yet been completed. However, it is possible to develop preliminary estimates of their production potential based on the limited data that are Currently available. These include the elevation and thickness of the hydrate-bearing layer (HBL), the water depth, and the water temperature at the seafloor. On the basis of this information, we developed estimates of the local geothermal gradient that bracket its true Value Reasonable estimates of the initial pressure distribution in the HBL can be obtained because it follows closely the hydrostatic. Other critical information needs include the hydrate saturation, and the intrinsic permeabilities of the system formations. These are treated as variables, and sensitivity analysis provides an estimate of their effect on production. On the basis of the geology of similar deposits, it is unlikely that Ulleung basin accumulations belong to Class 1 (involving an HBL underlain by a mobile gas zone). If Class 4 (disperse, low-saturation accumulations) deposits are involved, they are not likely to have production potential. The most likely scenarios include Class 2 (HBL underlain by a zone of mobile water) or Class 3 (involving only an HBL) accumulations. Assuming nearly impermeable confining boundaries, this numerical study indicates that large production rates (several million scf/D) are attainable from both Class 2 and Class 3 deposits using conventional technology. The sensitivity analysis demonstrates the dependence of production on the well design, the production rate, the intrinsic permeability of the HBL, the initial pressure, temperature, and hydrate Saturation, as well as on the thickness of the water zone (Class 2). The Study also demonstrates that the presence of confining boundaries is indispensable for the commercially viable production of gas from these deposits.