期刊
SOLAR ENERGY
卷 94, 期 -, 页码 305-326出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.solener.2013.05.005
关键词
Irradiance; Forecast; Validation; Solar resource; Numerical weather prediction
资金
- NREL [AGJ04029001]
- Natural Resources Canada through the ecoENERGY Technology Initiative which is a component of ecoACTION
This article combines and discusses three independent validations of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) multi-day forecast models that were conducted in the US, Canada and Europe. All forecast models are based directly or indirectly on numerical weather prediction (NWP). Two models are common to the three validation efforts - the ECMWF global model and the GFS-driven WRF mesoscale model and allow general observations: (1) the GFS-based WRF- model forecasts do not perform as well as global forecast-based approaches such as ECMWF and (2) the simple averaging of models' output tends to perform better than individual models. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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