PARAMETER AND STATE MODEL REDUCTION FOR LARGE-SCALE STATISTICAL INVERSE PROBLEMS

A greedy algorithm for the construction of a reduced model with reduction in both parameter and state is developed for an efficient solution of statistical inverse problems governed by partial differential equations with distributed parameters. Large-scale models are too costly to evaluate repeatedly, as is required in the statistical setting. Furthermore, these models often have high-dimensional parametric input spaces, which compounds the difficulty of effectively exploring the uncertainty space. We simultaneously address both challenges by constructing a projection-based reduced model that accepts low-dimensional parameter inputs and whose model evaluations are inexpensive. The associated parameter and state bases are obtained through a greedy procedure that targets the governing equations, model outputs, and prior information. The methodology and results are presented for groundwater inverse problems in one and two dimensions.